Final Score: Blue Jays 8 - Royals 5
Sunday, September 21, 2025 at 2:10 PM ET
Blue Jays @ Royals
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Blue Jays | Royals |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 234 | 217 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average runs | 4.6 | 4.4 |
| Last meeting | 1 | 2 |
| Stat | Blue Jays | Royals |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 155 | 155 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.9 | 3.9 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.5 | 3.9 |
| Win percentage | 57% | 50% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 49% | 54% |
Recent Results
Blue Jays
@ Kansas City Royals
Sep 20, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Kansas City Royals
Sep 19, 2025 · Margin: -19 · Total: 21
1-20
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 18, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 17, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 16, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 15, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Baltimore Orioles
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: +9 · Total: 13
11-2
vs Baltimore Orioles
Sep 13, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs Baltimore Orioles
Sep 12, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
vs Houston Astros
Sep 11, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 6
6-0
Royals
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 20, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 19, 2025 · Margin: +19 · Total: 21
20-1
vs Seattle Mariners
Sep 18, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
vs Seattle Mariners
Sep 17, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
vs Seattle Mariners
Sep 16, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 17
5-12
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 13
10-3
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Sep 13, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 14
6-8
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Sep 12, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 10
2-8
@ Cleveland Guardians
Sep 11, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Cleveland Guardians
Sep 10, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3