Final Score: Red Sox 4 - Astros 6
Wednesday, April 1, 2026 at 2:10 PM ET
Red Sox @ Astros
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Red Sox | Astros |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 53 | 52 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average runs | 5.0 | 4.9 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 9 |
| Stat | Red Sox | Astros |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 5 | 6 |
| Avg runs scored | 2.6 | 6.5 |
| Avg runs conceded | 5.2 | 4.7 |
| Win percentage | 20% | 67% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 20% | 67% |
Recent Results
Red Sox
@ Houston Astros
Mar 31, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 11
2-9
@ Houston Astros
Mar 30, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 9
1-8
@ Cincinnati Reds
Mar 29, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Cincinnati Reds
Mar 28, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Cincinnati Reds
Mar 26, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
@ New York Yankees
Oct 2, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
@ New York Yankees
Oct 1, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ New York Yankees
Sep 30, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs Detroit Tigers
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Detroit Tigers
Sep 27, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
Astros
vs Boston Red Sox
Mar 31, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 11
9-2
vs Boston Red Sox
Mar 30, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 9
8-1
vs Los Angeles Angels
Mar 29, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 16
9-7
vs Los Angeles Angels
Mar 28, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 20
11-9
vs Los Angeles Angels
Mar 27, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
vs Los Angeles Angels
Mar 26, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
@ Los Angeles Angels
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ Los Angeles Angels
Sep 27, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
@ Los Angeles Angels
Sep 26, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Athletics
Sep 25, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 16
11-5