Final Score: Guardians 3 - Royals 5
Tuesday, May 5, 2026 at 7:40 PM ET
Guardians @ Royals
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Guardians | Royals |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 435 | 380 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.7 | 4.2 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 6 |
| Stat | Guardians | Royals |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 36 | 35 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.1 | 4.2 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.3 | 4.5 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 46% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 45% | 59% |
Recent Results
Guardians
@ Kansas City Royals
May 4, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ Athletics
May 3, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 8
1-7
@ Athletics
May 2, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 20
14-6
@ Athletics
May 1, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 13
8-5
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Apr 29, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Apr 28, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Apr 27, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Apr 26, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Apr 25, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Apr 24, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 14
8-6
Royals
vs Cleveland Guardians
May 4, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ Seattle Mariners
May 3, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Seattle Mariners
May 2, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Seattle Mariners
May 1, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
@ Athletics
Apr 30, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Athletics
Apr 29, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Athletics
Apr 28, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Los Angeles Angels
Apr 26, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 20
11-9
vs Los Angeles Angels
Apr 25, 2026 · Margin: +11 · Total: 13
12-1
vs Los Angeles Angels
Apr 24, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3