Final Score: Royals 3 - Mariners 2
Saturday, May 2, 2026 at 9:40 PM ET
Royals @ Mariners
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Royals | Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 246 | 241 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.5 | 4.8 |
| Last meeting | 7 | 6 |
| Stat | Royals | Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 32 | 33 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.2 | 4.2 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.8 | 4.1 |
| Win percentage | 41% | 48% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 25% | 56% |
Recent Results
Royals
@ Seattle Mariners
May 1, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
@ Athletics
Apr 30, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Athletics
Apr 29, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Athletics
Apr 28, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Los Angeles Angels
Apr 26, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 20
11-9
vs Los Angeles Angels
Apr 25, 2026 · Margin: +11 · Total: 13
12-1
vs Los Angeles Angels
Apr 24, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs Baltimore Orioles
Apr 22, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 14
6-8
vs Baltimore Orioles
Apr 21, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Baltimore Orioles
Apr 20, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 12
5-7
Mariners
vs Kansas City Royals
May 1, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
@ Minnesota Twins
Apr 29, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ Minnesota Twins
Apr 28, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1
@ Minnesota Twins
Apr 27, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 15
4-11
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Apr 26, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Apr 25, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 20
11-9
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Apr 24, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Athletics
Apr 22, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs Athletics
Apr 21, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Athletics
Apr 20, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6