Final Score: Orioles 5 - Royals 6
Tuesday, April 21, 2026 at 7:40 PM ET
Orioles @ Royals
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Orioles | Royals |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 295 | 237 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.6 | 4.3 |
| Last meeting | 7 | 5 |
| Stat | Orioles | Royals |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 23 | 23 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.3 | 3.3 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.5 | 4.8 |
| Win percentage | 48% | 30% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 45% | 45% |
Recent Results
Orioles
@ Kansas City Royals
Apr 20, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
@ Cleveland Guardians
Apr 19, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 12
4-8
@ Cleveland Guardians
Apr 18, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Cleveland Guardians
Apr 17, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
@ Cleveland Guardians
Apr 16, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Apr 15, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 13
5-8
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Apr 14, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Apr 13, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 16
9-7
vs San Francisco Giants
Apr 12, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
vs San Francisco Giants
Apr 11, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
Royals
vs Baltimore Orioles
Apr 20, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 12
5-7
@ New York Yankees
Apr 19, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 7
0-7
@ New York Yankees
Apr 18, 2026 · Margin: -9 · Total: 17
4-13
@ New York Yankees
Apr 17, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Detroit Tigers
Apr 16, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 19
9-10
@ Detroit Tigers
Apr 15, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Detroit Tigers
Apr 14, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Chicago White Sox
Apr 12, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
vs Chicago White Sox
Apr 11, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs Chicago White Sox
Apr 10, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0