Final Score: Rockies 1 - Diamondbacks 2
Thursday, May 21, 2026 at 9:40 PM ET

Rockies @ Diamondbacks

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Rockies
19-31 Rating 1389
Form: WLWLL
Model Probability
32%
68%
Projected margin: Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5
Diamondbacks
25-23 Rating 1511
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Rockies Diamondbacks
All-time wins 215 272
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.1 5.6
Last meeting 6 8

Key Season Stats

Stat Rockies Diamondbacks
Games played 50 48
Avg runs scored 4.2 4.6
Avg runs conceded 5.3 4.6
Win percentage 38% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 36% 62%