Final Score: Mets 1 - Diamondbacks 5
Sunday, May 10, 2026 at 4:10 PM ET
Mets @ Diamondbacks
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Mets | Diamondbacks |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 106 | 88 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.7 | 4.2 |
| Last meeting | 1 | 2 |
| Stat | Mets | Diamondbacks |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 39 | 38 |
| Avg runs scored | 3.5 | 4.3 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.2 | 5.0 |
| Win percentage | 38% | 47% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 43% | 55% |
Recent Results
Mets
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
May 9, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
May 8, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ Colorado Rockies
May 7, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ Colorado Rockies
May 6, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 15
10-5
@ Colorado Rockies
May 4, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Los Angeles Angels
May 3, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
@ Los Angeles Angels
May 2, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Los Angeles Angels
May 1, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Washington Nationals
Apr 30, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Washington Nationals
Apr 29, 2026 · Margin: -12 · Total: 16
2-14
Diamondbacks
vs New York Mets
May 9, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs New York Mets
May 8, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
May 7, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
May 6, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
May 5, 2026 · Margin: +9 · Total: 9
9-0
@ Chicago Cubs
May 3, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 12
4-8
@ Chicago Cubs
May 2, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
@ Chicago Cubs
May 1, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Apr 30, 2026 · Margin: -12 · Total: 14
1-13
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Apr 29, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2