Final Score: Mets 4 - Rockies 2
Monday, May 4, 2026 at 5:40 PM ET

Mets @ Rockies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
12-22 Rating 1487
Form: LLWLW
Model Probability
58%
42%
Projected margin: New York Mets +0.8
Rockies
14-21 Rating 1391
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Rockies
All-time wins 128 112
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 5.1 4.6
Last meeting 0 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Rockies
Games played 34 35
Avg runs scored 3.5 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.9
Win percentage 35% 40%
Away win % / Home win % 38% 44%