Final Score: Nationals 5 - Mets 4
Thursday, April 30, 2026 at 1:10 PM ET
Nationals @ Mets
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Nationals | Mets |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 477 | 487 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.1 | 4.1 |
| Last meeting | 14 | 2 |
| Stat | Nationals | Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 31 | 30 |
| Avg runs scored | 5.5 | 3.4 |
| Avg runs conceded | 5.8 | 4.5 |
| Win percentage | 45% | 33% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 61% | 35% |
Recent Results
Nationals
@ New York Mets
Apr 29, 2026 · Margin: +12 · Total: 16
14-2
@ New York Mets
Apr 28, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 8
0-8
@ Chicago White Sox
Apr 26, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Chicago White Sox
Apr 25, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Chicago White Sox
Apr 24, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Atlanta Braves
Apr 23, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 9
2-7
vs Atlanta Braves
Apr 22, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 14
6-8
vs Atlanta Braves
Apr 21, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 15
11-4
vs Atlanta Braves
Apr 20, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 13
4-9
vs San Francisco Giants
Apr 19, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
Mets
vs Washington Nationals
Apr 29, 2026 · Margin: -12 · Total: 16
2-14
vs Washington Nationals
Apr 28, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 8
8-0
vs Colorado Rockies
Apr 26, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
vs Colorado Rockies
Apr 26, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Colorado Rockies
Apr 24, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Minnesota Twins
Apr 23, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 18
10-8
vs Minnesota Twins
Apr 22, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Minnesota Twins
Apr 21, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
@ Chicago Cubs
Apr 19, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Chicago Cubs
Apr 18, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4