Final Score: Braves 8 - Nationals 6
Wednesday, April 22, 2026 at 6:45 PM ET

Braves @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Braves
16-8 Rating 1524
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
55%
45%
Projected margin: Atlanta Braves +0.5
Nationals
11-13 Rating 1449
Form: LLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Braves Nationals
All-time wins 434 389
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 4.3
Last meeting 4 11

Key Season Stats

Stat Braves Nationals
Games played 24 24
Avg runs scored 5.6 5.7
Avg runs conceded 3.3 6.1
Win percentage 67% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 67% 27%