Final Score: Nationals 5 - Pirates 4
Tuesday, April 14, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET
Nationals @ Pirates
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Nationals | Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 319 | 345 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.0 | 4.3 |
| Last meeting | 5 | 16 |
| Stat | Nationals | Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 16 | 16 |
| Avg runs scored | 5.9 | 5.1 |
| Avg runs conceded | 6.5 | 3.9 |
| Win percentage | 44% | 62% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 60% | 71% |
Recent Results
Nationals
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Apr 13, 2026 · Margin: -11 · Total: 21
5-16
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Apr 12, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 14
8-6
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Apr 11, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Apr 10, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Apr 8, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Apr 7, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Apr 6, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 15
9-6
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Apr 5, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 14
6-8
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Apr 4, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 15
5-10
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Apr 3, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 19
6-13
Pirates
vs Washington Nationals
Apr 13, 2026 · Margin: +11 · Total: 21
16-5
@ Chicago Cubs
Apr 12, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
@ Chicago Cubs
Apr 11, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Chicago Cubs
Apr 10, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs San Diego Padres
Apr 8, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 10
2-8
vs San Diego Padres
Apr 7, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1
vs San Diego Padres
Apr 6, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 5
0-5
vs Baltimore Orioles
Apr 5, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 10
8-2
vs Baltimore Orioles
Apr 4, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Baltimore Orioles
Apr 3, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4