Final Score: Braves 4 - Nationals 11
Tuesday, April 21, 2026 at 6:45 PM ET

Braves @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Braves
16-7 Rating 1526
Form: WWWWW
Model Probability
56%
44%
Projected margin: Atlanta Braves +0.5
Nationals
10-13 Rating 1447
Form: WLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Braves Nationals
All-time wins 434 388
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.5 4.3
Last meeting 9 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Braves Nationals
Games played 23 23
Avg runs scored 5.7 5.4
Avg runs conceded 3.0 6.2
Win percentage 70% 43%
Away win % / Home win % 73% 20%