Final Score: Nationals 14 - Mets 2
Wednesday, April 29, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET

Nationals @ Mets

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
13-17 Rating 1446
Form: LLWWL
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: New York Mets +0.7
Mets
10-19 Rating 1490
Form: WLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Mets
All-time wins 476 487
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.1 4.1
Last meeting 0 8

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Mets
Games played 30 29
Avg runs scored 5.2 3.4
Avg runs conceded 6.0 4.2
Win percentage 43% 34%
Away win % / Home win % 59% 38%