Final Score: Mets 1 - Diamondbacks 2
Saturday, May 9, 2026 at 7:15 PM ET

Mets @ Diamondbacks

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
15-23 Rating 1490
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Arizona Diamondbacks +0.4
Diamondbacks
17-20 Rating 1503
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Diamondbacks
All-time wins 106 87
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.7 4.2
Last meeting 3 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Diamondbacks
Games played 38 37
Avg runs scored 3.6 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.3 5.1
Win percentage 39% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 53%