Final Score: Diamondbacks 4 - Cubs 8
Sunday, May 3, 2026 at 2:20 PM ET

Diamondbacks @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Diamondbacks
16-16 Rating 1510
Form: LWLLL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.5
Cubs
21-12 Rating 1541
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Diamondbacks Cubs
All-time wins 103 92
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.8 4.3
Last meeting 0 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Diamondbacks Cubs
Games played 32 33
Avg runs scored 4.6 5.4
Avg runs conceded 5.4 4.2
Win percentage 50% 64%
Away win % / Home win % 41% 72%