Final Score: Phillies 2 - Cubs 7
Wednesday, April 22, 2026 at 7:40 PM ET

Phillies @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
8-15 Rating 1531
Form: LLLLL
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.3
Cubs
14-9 Rating 1532
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Cubs
All-time wins 347 312
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.7 4.5
Last meeting 4 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Cubs
Games played 23 23
Avg runs scored 3.5 5.4
Avg runs conceded 5.4 3.8
Win percentage 35% 61%
Away win % / Home win % 38% 64%