Final Score: Cubs 10 - Phillies 4
Tuesday, April 14, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET

Cubs @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
7-9 Rating 1519
Form: WLLWL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.5
Phillies
8-8 Rating 1546
Form: LLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Phillies
All-time wins 308 347
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.5 4.7
Last meeting 7 13

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Phillies
Games played 16 16
Avg runs scored 4.6 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.8
Win percentage 44% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 43% 50%