Final Score: Diamondbacks 4 - Phillies 3
Sunday, April 12, 2026 at 1:35 PM ET

Diamondbacks @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Diamondbacks
8-7 Rating 1512
Form: LWWWL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.6
Phillies
7-7 Rating 1546
Form: WLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Diamondbacks Phillies
All-time wins 97 93
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.7 4.6
Last meeting 3 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Diamondbacks Phillies
Games played 15 14
Avg runs scored 4.0 3.6
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.6
Win percentage 53% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 38% 50%