Final Score: Cubs 7 - Phillies 13
Monday, April 13, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET

Cubs @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
7-8 Rating 1521
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.5
Phillies
7-8 Rating 1544
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Phillies
All-time wins 308 346
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.5 4.7
Last meeting 2 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Phillies
Games played 15 15
Avg runs scored 4.4 3.5
Avg runs conceded 3.7 4.6
Win percentage 47% 47%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 44%