Final Score: Diamondbacks 3 - Phillies 4
Saturday, April 11, 2026 at 1:05 PM ET
Diamondbacks @ Phillies
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Diamondbacks | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 97 | 92 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average runs | 4.7 | 4.6 |
| Last meeting | 5 | 4 |
| Stat | Diamondbacks | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 14 | 13 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.1 | 3.5 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.5 | 4.8 |
| Win percentage | 57% | 46% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 43% | 43% |
Recent Results
Diamondbacks
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Apr 10, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ New York Mets
Apr 9, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1
@ New York Mets
Apr 8, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
@ New York Mets
Apr 7, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Atlanta Braves
Apr 5, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Atlanta Braves
Apr 4, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Atlanta Braves
Apr 3, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
vs Atlanta Braves
Apr 2, 2026 · Margin: -15 · Total: 19
2-17
vs Detroit Tigers
Apr 1, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
vs Detroit Tigers
Mar 31, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
Phillies
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Apr 10, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ San Francisco Giants
Apr 8, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 5
0-5
@ San Francisco Giants
Apr 7, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 6
0-6
@ San Francisco Giants
Apr 6, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
@ Colorado Rockies
Apr 5, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Colorado Rockies
Apr 4, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Colorado Rockies
Apr 3, 2026 · Margin: +9 · Total: 11
10-1
vs Washington Nationals
Apr 1, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Washington Nationals
Mar 31, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Washington Nationals
Mar 30, 2026 · Margin: -11 · Total: 15
2-13