Final Score: Nationals 13 - Phillies 2
Monday, March 30, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET
Nationals @ Phillies
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Nationals | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 461 | 505 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.2 | 4.4 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 3 |
| Stat | Nationals | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 3 | 3 |
| Avg runs scored | 6.0 | 4.0 |
| Avg runs conceded | 5.7 | 5.3 |
| Win percentage | 67% | 33% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 67% | 33% |
Recent Results
Nationals
@ Chicago Cubs
Mar 29, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Chicago Cubs
Mar 28, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 12
2-10
@ Chicago Cubs
Mar 26, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 14
10-4
vs Chicago White Sox
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: -8 · Total: 8
0-8
vs Chicago White Sox
Sep 27, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Chicago White Sox
Sep 26, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 19
9-10
@ Atlanta Braves
Sep 24, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Atlanta Braves
Sep 23, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Atlanta Braves
Sep 22, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 16
5-11
@ New York Mets
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
Phillies
vs Texas Rangers
Mar 29, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 11
3-8
vs Texas Rangers
Mar 28, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Texas Rangers
Mar 26, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Oct 9, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Oct 8, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 10
8-2
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Oct 6, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Oct 4, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs Minnesota Twins
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Minnesota Twins
Sep 27, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 5
0-5
vs Minnesota Twins
Sep 26, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1