Final Score: Twins 1 - Phillies 2
Sunday, September 28, 2025 at 3:05 PM ET
Twins @ Phillies
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Twins | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 16 | 13 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.8 | 4.5 |
| Last meeting | 5 | 0 |
| Stat | Twins | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 161 | 161 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.2 | 4.8 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.8 | 4.0 |
| Win percentage | 43% | 59% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 40% | 68% |
Recent Results
Twins
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Sep 27, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Sep 26, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
@ Texas Rangers
Sep 25, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
@ Texas Rangers
Sep 24, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Texas Rangers
Sep 23, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Cleveland Guardians
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
vs Cleveland Guardians
Sep 20, 2025 · Margin: -8 · Total: 8
0-8
vs Cleveland Guardians
Sep 20, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 6
0-6
vs Cleveland Guardians
Sep 19, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
vs New York Yankees
Sep 17, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 15
5-10
Phillies
vs Minnesota Twins
Sep 27, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 5
0-5
vs Minnesota Twins
Sep 26, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs Miami Marlins
Sep 25, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
vs Miami Marlins
Sep 24, 2025 · Margin: +10 · Total: 12
11-1
vs Miami Marlins
Sep 23, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 11
2-9
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Sep 20, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Sep 19, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 10
8-2
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Sep 17, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 5
0-5
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Sep 16, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 15
9-6