Final Score: Phillies 1 - Cubs 5
Monday, April 20, 2026 at 7:40 PM ET

Phillies @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
8-13 Rating 1535
Form: LLLLL
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.2
Cubs
12-9 Rating 1529
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Cubs
All-time wins 347 310
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.7 4.5
Last meeting 2 11

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Cubs
Games played 21 21
Avg runs scored 3.6 5.3
Avg runs conceded 5.4 3.9
Win percentage 38% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 58%