Final Score: Padres 7 - Diamondbacks 12
Sunday, April 26, 2026 at 4:05 PM ET

Padres @ Diamondbacks

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
18-8 Rating 1549
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.2
Diamondbacks
14-12 Rating 1512
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Diamondbacks
All-time wins 234 247
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 4.3 4.6
Last meeting 6 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Diamondbacks
Games played 26 26
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.6
Avg runs conceded 3.8 5.0
Win percentage 69% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 69% 57%