Final Score: Blue Jays 3 - Diamondbacks 6
Friday, April 17, 2026 at 9:40 PM ET

Blue Jays @ Diamondbacks

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Blue Jays
7-11 Rating 1525
Form: LLWLL
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Arizona Diamondbacks +0.1
Diamondbacks
11-8 Rating 1517
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Blue Jays Diamondbacks
All-time wins 15 13
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.5 4.7
Last meeting 5 9

Key Season Stats

Stat Blue Jays Diamondbacks
Games played 18 19
Avg runs scored 3.8 4.4
Avg runs conceded 5.2 4.6
Win percentage 39% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 17% 71%