Final Score: Padres 6 - Diamondbacks 4
Saturday, April 25, 2026 at 6:05 PM ET
Padres @ Diamondbacks
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Padres | Diamondbacks |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 233 | 247 |
| Last 5 meetings | 5 | 0 |
| Average runs | 4.3 | 4.6 |
| Last meeting | 12 | 4 |
| Stat | Padres | Diamondbacks |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 25 | 25 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.4 | 4.6 |
| Avg runs conceded | 3.8 | 5.0 |
| Win percentage | 68% | 56% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 67% | 62% |
Recent Results
Padres
@ Colorado Rockies
Apr 23, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 18
10-8
@ Colorado Rockies
Apr 22, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 11
3-8
@ Colorado Rockies
Apr 21, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
@ Los Angeles Angels
Apr 19, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Los Angeles Angels
Apr 18, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Los Angeles Angels
Apr 17, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 8
0-8
vs Seattle Mariners
Apr 16, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Seattle Mariners
Apr 15, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
vs Seattle Mariners
Apr 14, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Colorado Rockies
Apr 12, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
Diamondbacks
vs Chicago White Sox
Apr 23, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Chicago White Sox
Apr 22, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 18
11-7
vs Chicago White Sox
Apr 21, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 16
5-11
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Apr 19, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 14
4-10
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Apr 18, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Apr 17, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Baltimore Orioles
Apr 15, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 13
8-5
@ Baltimore Orioles
Apr 14, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Baltimore Orioles
Apr 13, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 16
7-9
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Apr 12, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3