Final Score: Mariners 2 - Padres 5
Thursday, April 16, 2026 at 8:40 PM ET
Mariners @ Padres
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Mariners | Padres |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 73 | 66 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.7 | 4.0 |
| Last meeting | 6 | 7 |
| Stat | Mariners | Padres |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 19 | 18 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.0 | 4.7 |
| Avg runs conceded | 3.6 | 3.7 |
| Win percentage | 42% | 67% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 12% | 67% |
Recent Results
Mariners
@ San Diego Padres
Apr 15, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
@ San Diego Padres
Apr 14, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Houston Astros
Apr 13, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
vs Houston Astros
Apr 12, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
vs Houston Astros
Apr 11, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 15
8-7
vs Houston Astros
Apr 10, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 15
9-6
@ Texas Rangers
Apr 8, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
@ Texas Rangers
Apr 7, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Texas Rangers
Apr 6, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Los Angeles Angels
Apr 5, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 15
7-8
Padres
vs Seattle Mariners
Apr 15, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
vs Seattle Mariners
Apr 14, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Colorado Rockies
Apr 12, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
vs Colorado Rockies
Apr 11, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 14
9-5
vs Colorado Rockies
Apr 10, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Colorado Rockies
Apr 9, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Apr 8, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 10
8-2
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Apr 7, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 8
1-7
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Apr 6, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0
@ Boston Red Sox
Apr 5, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 14
8-6