Final Score: Rockies 5 - Padres 9
Saturday, April 11, 2026 at 8:40 PM ET

Rockies @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Rockies
6-8 Rating 1387
Form: WWWLL
Model Probability
29%
71%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +1.7
Padres
8-6 Rating 1538
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Rockies Padres
All-time wins 278 265
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 5.0 5.1
Last meeting 2 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Rockies Padres
Games played 14 14
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.1
Avg runs conceded 3.9 3.8
Win percentage 43% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 25% 50%