Final Score: Reds 4 - Cubs 5
Monday, May 4, 2026 at 7:40 PM ET
Reds @ Cubs
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Reds | Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 414 | 382 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average runs | 4.6 | 4.7 |
| Last meeting | 1 | 0 |
| Stat | Reds | Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 34 | 34 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.1 | 5.4 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.8 | 4.2 |
| Win percentage | 59% | 65% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 62% | 74% |
Recent Results
Reds
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
May 3, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
May 2, 2026 · Margin: -10 · Total: 24
7-17
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
May 1, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 10
1-9
vs Colorado Rockies
Apr 30, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
vs Colorado Rockies
Apr 29, 2026 · Margin: -11 · Total: 15
2-13
vs Colorado Rockies
Apr 28, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
vs Detroit Tigers
Apr 26, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 11
3-8
vs Detroit Tigers
Apr 25, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 11
9-2
vs Detroit Tigers
Apr 24, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 17
9-8
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Apr 22, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
Cubs
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
May 3, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 12
8-4
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
May 2, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
May 1, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
@ San Diego Padres
Apr 29, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ San Diego Padres
Apr 28, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 11
8-3
@ San Diego Padres
Apr 27, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 16
7-9
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Apr 26, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 6
0-6
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Apr 25, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 16
4-12
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Apr 24, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Apr 23, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 15
8-7