Final Score: Reds 0 - Pirates 1
Sunday, May 3, 2026 at 1:35 PM ET
Reds @ Pirates
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Reds | Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 434 | 393 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average runs | 4.5 | 4.3 |
| Last meeting | 7 | 17 |
| Stat | Reds | Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 33 | 34 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.3 | 5.3 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.9 | 4.4 |
| Win percentage | 61% | 53% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 67% | 53% |
Recent Results
Reds
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
May 2, 2026 · Margin: -10 · Total: 24
7-17
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
May 1, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 10
1-9
vs Colorado Rockies
Apr 30, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
vs Colorado Rockies
Apr 29, 2026 · Margin: -11 · Total: 15
2-13
vs Colorado Rockies
Apr 28, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
vs Detroit Tigers
Apr 26, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 11
3-8
vs Detroit Tigers
Apr 25, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 11
9-2
vs Detroit Tigers
Apr 24, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 17
9-8
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Apr 22, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Apr 21, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 18
12-6
Pirates
vs Cincinnati Reds
May 2, 2026 · Margin: +10 · Total: 24
17-7
vs Cincinnati Reds
May 1, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 10
9-1
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Apr 30, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 15
5-10
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Apr 29, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Apr 28, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 18
7-11
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Apr 27, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Apr 26, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 5
0-5
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Apr 25, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Apr 24, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 6
6-0
@ Texas Rangers
Apr 23, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6