Final Score: Cardinals 5 - Pirates 4
Wednesday, April 29, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET
Cardinals @ Pirates
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Cardinals | Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 508 | 435 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.5 | 4.2 |
| Last meeting | 11 | 7 |
| Stat | Cardinals | Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 29 | 30 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.8 | 4.8 |
| Avg runs conceded | 5.1 | 4.2 |
| Win percentage | 55% | 53% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 64% | 53% |
Recent Results
Cardinals
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Apr 28, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 18
11-7
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Apr 27, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Seattle Mariners
Apr 26, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Seattle Mariners
Apr 25, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 20
9-11
vs Seattle Mariners
Apr 24, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Miami Marlins
Apr 22, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Miami Marlins
Apr 21, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ Miami Marlins
Apr 20, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
@ Houston Astros
Apr 19, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
@ Houston Astros
Apr 18, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
Pirates
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Apr 28, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 18
7-11
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Apr 27, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Apr 26, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 5
0-5
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Apr 25, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Apr 24, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 6
6-0
@ Texas Rangers
Apr 23, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
@ Texas Rangers
Apr 22, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 12
8-4
@ Texas Rangers
Apr 21, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Apr 19, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Apr 18, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 15
7-8