Final Score: Cardinals 5 - Marlins 3
Tuesday, April 21, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET
Cardinals @ Marlins
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Cardinals | Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 138 | 93 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.6 | 3.9 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 5 |
| Stat | Cardinals | Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 22 | 23 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.8 | 4.6 |
| Avg runs conceded | 5.3 | 4.5 |
| Win percentage | 59% | 48% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 60% | 64% |
Recent Results
Cardinals
@ Miami Marlins
Apr 20, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
@ Houston Astros
Apr 19, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
@ Houston Astros
Apr 18, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
@ Houston Astros
Apr 17, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 13
9-4
vs Cleveland Guardians
Apr 15, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Cleveland Guardians
Apr 14, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Cleveland Guardians
Apr 13, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 12
3-9
vs Boston Red Sox
Apr 12, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 12
3-9
vs Boston Red Sox
Apr 11, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 8
1-7
vs Boston Red Sox
Apr 10, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
Marlins
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Apr 20, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Apr 19, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Apr 18, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Apr 17, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 12
5-7
@ Atlanta Braves
Apr 15, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Atlanta Braves
Apr 14, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Atlanta Braves
Apr 13, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 14
10-4
@ Detroit Tigers
Apr 12, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 10
2-8
@ Detroit Tigers
Apr 11, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
@ Detroit Tigers
Apr 10, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2