Final Score: Rays 3 - Pirates 6
Sunday, April 19, 2026 at 1:35 PM ET

Rays @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Rays
12-8 Rating 1506
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.1
Pirates
12-9 Rating 1477
Form: LWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Rays Pirates
All-time wins 17 12
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.7 4.5
Last meeting 8 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Rays Pirates
Games played 20 21
Avg runs scored 5.0 5.1
Avg runs conceded 5.2 4.0
Win percentage 60% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 57% 58%