Final Score: Rays 1 - Pirates 5
Friday, April 17, 2026 at 6:45 PM ET
Rays @ Pirates
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Rays | Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 16 | 11 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.7 | 4.4 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 4 |
| Stat | Rays | Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 18 | 19 |
| Avg runs scored | 5.1 | 5.0 |
| Avg runs conceded | 5.1 | 4.0 |
| Win percentage | 61% | 58% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 58% | 60% |
Recent Results
Rays
@ Chicago White Sox
Apr 16, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ Chicago White Sox
Apr 15, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 11
8-3
@ Chicago White Sox
Apr 14, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 13
8-5
vs New York Yankees
Apr 12, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs New York Yankees
Apr 11, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs New York Yankees
Apr 10, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Chicago Cubs
Apr 8, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
vs Chicago Cubs
Apr 7, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 11
2-9
vs Chicago Cubs
Apr 6, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
@ Minnesota Twins
Apr 5, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
Pirates
vs Washington Nationals
Apr 16, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 15
7-8
vs Washington Nationals
Apr 15, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs Washington Nationals
Apr 14, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Washington Nationals
Apr 13, 2026 · Margin: +11 · Total: 21
16-5
@ Chicago Cubs
Apr 12, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
@ Chicago Cubs
Apr 11, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Chicago Cubs
Apr 10, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs San Diego Padres
Apr 8, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 10
2-8
vs San Diego Padres
Apr 7, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1
vs San Diego Padres
Apr 6, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 5
0-5