Final Score: Pirates 1 - Diamondbacks 0
Wednesday, May 6, 2026 at 9:40 PM ET

Pirates @ Diamondbacks

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
19-17 Rating 1477
Form: LWWWL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Arizona Diamondbacks +0.6
Diamondbacks
17-17 Rating 1510
Form: LLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Diamondbacks
All-time wins 77 105
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.1 4.9
Last meeting 0 9

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Diamondbacks
Games played 36 34
Avg runs scored 5.0 4.7
Avg runs conceded 4.4 5.3
Win percentage 53% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 62%