Final Score: Marlins 1 - Mets 10
Sunday, May 31, 2026 at 1:40 PM ET

Marlins @ Mets

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
26-33 Rating 1474
Form: WLLLL
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: New York Mets +0.4
Mets
25-33 Rating 1490
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Mets
All-time wins 251 293
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.0 4.5
Last meeting 1 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Mets
Games played 59 58
Avg runs scored 4.2 3.9
Avg runs conceded 4.6 4.3
Win percentage 44% 43%
Away win % / Home win % 31% 48%