Final Score: Marlins 7 - Nationals 3
Monday, June 1, 2026 at 6:45 PM ET

Marlins @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
26-34 Rating 1472
Form: LLLLL
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Washington Nationals +0.1
Nationals
31-29 Rating 1465
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Nationals
All-time wins 274 265
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.4 4.4
Last meeting 5 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Nationals
Games played 60 60
Avg runs scored 4.2 5.4
Avg runs conceded 4.7 5.4
Win percentage 43% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 30% 41%