Final Score: Nationals 2 - Guardians 3
Wednesday, May 27, 2026 at 1:10 PM ET

Nationals @ Guardians

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
29-27 Rating 1464
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
38%
62%
Projected margin: Cleveland Guardians +0.9
Guardians
32-25 Rating 1530
Form: WLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Guardians
All-time wins 16 14
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.8 4.2
Last meeting 6 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Guardians
Games played 56 57
Avg runs scored 5.4 4.2
Avg runs conceded 5.5 3.9
Win percentage 52% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 63% 56%