Final Score: Reds 3 - Guardians 10
Sunday, May 17, 2026 at 1:40 PM ET
Reds @ Guardians
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Reds | Guardians |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 65 | 78 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.2 | 5.2 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 7 |
| Stat | Reds | Guardians |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 46 | 47 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.4 | 4.3 |
| Avg runs conceded | 5.0 | 4.1 |
| Win percentage | 52% | 53% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 50% | 58% |
Recent Results
Reds
@ Cleveland Guardians
May 16, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 11
4-7
@ Cleveland Guardians
May 15, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
vs Washington Nationals
May 14, 2026 · Margin: +14 · Total: 16
15-1
vs Washington Nationals
May 13, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 15
7-8
vs Washington Nationals
May 12, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 14
4-10
vs Houston Astros
May 10, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0
vs Houston Astros
May 9, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs Houston Astros
May 8, 2026 · Margin: -10 · Total: 10
0-10
@ Chicago Cubs
May 7, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 11
3-8
@ Chicago Cubs
May 6, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
Guardians
vs Cincinnati Reds
May 16, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
vs Cincinnati Reds
May 15, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
vs Los Angeles Angels
May 13, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Los Angeles Angels
May 12, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Los Angeles Angels
May 11, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
vs Minnesota Twins
May 10, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Minnesota Twins
May 9, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Minnesota Twins
May 8, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
@ Kansas City Royals
May 7, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 13
8-5
@ Kansas City Royals
May 6, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1