Final Score: Nationals 1 - Reds 15
Thursday, May 14, 2026 at 12:40 PM ET

Nationals @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
21-22 Rating 1455
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.7
Reds
22-21 Rating 1496
Form: LWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Reds
All-time wins 251 270
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.3 4.6
Last meeting 8 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Reds
Games played 43 43
Avg runs scored 5.5 4.1
Avg runs conceded 5.6 5.0
Win percentage 49% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 62% 52%