Final Score: Nationals 2 - Marlins 5
Sunday, May 10, 2026 at 12:15 PM ET
Nationals @ Marlins
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Nationals | Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 265 | 273 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.4 | 4.4 |
| Last meeting | 7 | 8 |
| Stat | Nationals | Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 40 | 40 |
| Avg runs scored | 5.4 | 4.3 |
| Avg runs conceded | 5.6 | 4.4 |
| Win percentage | 48% | 45% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 62% | 52% |
Recent Results
Nationals
@ Miami Marlins
May 9, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 15
7-8
@ Miami Marlins
May 8, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Minnesota Twins
May 7, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
vs Minnesota Twins
May 6, 2026 · Margin: +13 · Total: 17
15-2
vs Minnesota Twins
May 5, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 14
3-11
vs Milwaukee Brewers
May 3, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Milwaukee Brewers
May 2, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Milwaukee Brewers
May 1, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
@ New York Mets
Apr 30, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ New York Mets
Apr 29, 2026 · Margin: +12 · Total: 16
14-2
Marlins
vs Washington Nationals
May 9, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 15
8-7
vs Washington Nationals
May 8, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Baltimore Orioles
May 7, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Baltimore Orioles
May 6, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 11
4-7
vs Baltimore Orioles
May 5, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 16
7-9
vs Philadelphia Phillies
May 4, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
vs Philadelphia Phillies
May 3, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 9
2-7
vs Philadelphia Phillies
May 2, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
vs Philadelphia Phillies
May 1, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Apr 29, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2