Final Score: Orioles 7 - Marlins 4
Wednesday, May 6, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET
Orioles @ Marlins
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Orioles | Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 16 | 32 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 3.9 | 5.2 |
| Last meeting | 9 | 7 |
| Stat | Orioles | Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 36 | 36 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.6 | 4.2 |
| Avg runs conceded | 5.6 | 4.4 |
| Win percentage | 44% | 44% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 39% | 52% |
Recent Results
Orioles
@ Miami Marlins
May 5, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 16
9-7
@ New York Yankees
May 4, 2026 · Margin: -11 · Total: 13
1-12
@ New York Yankees
May 3, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 14
3-11
@ New York Yankees
May 2, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 13
4-9
@ New York Yankees
May 1, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 9
2-7
vs Houston Astros
Apr 30, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 16
5-11
vs Houston Astros
Apr 30, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 13
10-3
vs Houston Astros
Apr 28, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Boston Red Sox
Apr 26, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs Boston Red Sox
Apr 25, 2026 · Margin: -16 · Total: 18
1-17
Marlins
vs Baltimore Orioles
May 5, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 16
7-9
vs Philadelphia Phillies
May 4, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
vs Philadelphia Phillies
May 3, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 9
2-7
vs Philadelphia Phillies
May 2, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
vs Philadelphia Phillies
May 1, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Apr 29, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Apr 28, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Apr 27, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ San Francisco Giants
Apr 26, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ San Francisco Giants
Apr 25, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6