Final Score: Orioles 1 - Yankees 12
Monday, May 4, 2026 at 7:05 PM ET
Orioles @ Yankees
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Orioles | Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 385 | 515 |
| Last 5 meetings | 0 | 5 |
| Average runs | 4.3 | 4.9 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 11 |
| Stat | Orioles | Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 34 | 34 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.5 | 5.3 |
| Avg runs conceded | 5.4 | 3.4 |
| Win percentage | 44% | 68% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 38% | 69% |
Recent Results
Orioles
@ New York Yankees
May 3, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 14
3-11
@ New York Yankees
May 2, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 13
4-9
@ New York Yankees
May 1, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 9
2-7
vs Houston Astros
Apr 30, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 16
5-11
vs Houston Astros
Apr 30, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 13
10-3
vs Houston Astros
Apr 28, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Boston Red Sox
Apr 26, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs Boston Red Sox
Apr 25, 2026 · Margin: -16 · Total: 18
1-17
vs Boston Red Sox
Apr 24, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 13
10-3
@ Kansas City Royals
Apr 22, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 14
8-6
Yankees
vs Baltimore Orioles
May 3, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 14
11-3
vs Baltimore Orioles
May 2, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 13
9-4
vs Baltimore Orioles
May 1, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
@ Texas Rangers
Apr 29, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
@ Texas Rangers
Apr 28, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Texas Rangers
Apr 27, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Houston Astros
Apr 26, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 11
4-7
@ Houston Astros
Apr 25, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 11
8-3
@ Houston Astros
Apr 24, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 16
12-4
@ Boston Red Sox
Apr 23, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2