Final Score: Yankees 4 - Red Sox 2
Thursday, April 23, 2026 at 6:10 PM ET

Yankees @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
15-9 Rating 1554
Form: WWWWW
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.2
Red Sox
9-15 Rating 1511
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Red Sox
All-time wins 471 445
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.8 4.7
Last meeting 4 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Red Sox
Games played 24 24
Avg runs scored 4.9 3.8
Avg runs conceded 3.5 4.6
Win percentage 62% 38%
Away win % / Home win % 64% 42%