Final Score: Yankees 4 - Red Sox 1
Wednesday, April 22, 2026 at 6:45 PM ET

Yankees @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
14-9 Rating 1552
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.2
Red Sox
9-14 Rating 1513
Form: WLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Red Sox
All-time wins 470 445
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.8 4.7
Last meeting 4 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Red Sox
Games played 23 23
Avg runs scored 5.0 3.9
Avg runs conceded 3.6 4.6
Win percentage 61% 39%
Away win % / Home win % 60% 45%