Final Score: Twins 5 - Nationals 7
Thursday, May 7, 2026 at 1:05 PM ET

Twins @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Twins
16-21 Rating 1459
Form: LLWWL
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Washington Nationals +0.1
Nationals
17-20 Rating 1449
Form: LLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Twins Nationals
All-time wins 14 15
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.4 4.9
Last meeting 2 15

Key Season Stats

Stat Twins Nationals
Games played 37 37
Avg runs scored 4.8 5.4
Avg runs conceded 5.1 5.7
Win percentage 43% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 35% 28%