Final Score: Twins 11 - Nationals 3
Tuesday, May 5, 2026 at 6:45 PM ET
Twins @ Nationals
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Twins | Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 13 | 14 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.2 | 4.6 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 7 |
| Stat | Twins | Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 35 | 35 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.7 | 5.1 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.9 | 5.6 |
| Win percentage | 43% | 46% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 33% | 25% |
Recent Results
Twins
vs Toronto Blue Jays
May 3, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Toronto Blue Jays
May 2, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 15
4-11
vs Toronto Blue Jays
May 1, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Apr 30, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1
vs Seattle Mariners
Apr 29, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs Seattle Mariners
Apr 28, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 8
1-7
vs Seattle Mariners
Apr 27, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 15
11-4
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Apr 26, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Apr 25, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Apr 24, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
Nationals
vs Milwaukee Brewers
May 3, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Milwaukee Brewers
May 2, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Milwaukee Brewers
May 1, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
@ New York Mets
Apr 30, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ New York Mets
Apr 29, 2026 · Margin: +12 · Total: 16
14-2
@ New York Mets
Apr 28, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 8
0-8
@ Chicago White Sox
Apr 26, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Chicago White Sox
Apr 25, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Chicago White Sox
Apr 24, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Atlanta Braves
Apr 23, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 9
2-7