Final Score: Blue Jays 3 - Twins 4
Sunday, May 3, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET

Blue Jays @ Twins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Blue Jays
16-17 Rating 1529
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
55%
45%
Projected margin: Toronto Blue Jays +0.5
Twins
14-20 Rating 1457
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Blue Jays Twins
All-time wins 243 198
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.8 4.3
Last meeting 11 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Blue Jays Twins
Games played 33 34
Avg runs scored 4.2 4.7
Avg runs conceded 4.6 4.9
Win percentage 48% 41%
Away win % / Home win % 40% 47%