Final Score: Red Sox 1 - Blue Jays 8
Wednesday, April 29, 2026 at 3:07 PM ET

Red Sox @ Blue Jays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
12-18 Rating 1512
Form: LWWWL
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Toronto Blue Jays +0.4
Blue Jays
13-16 Rating 1526
Form: LWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Blue Jays
All-time wins 403 340
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.0 4.8
Last meeting 0 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Blue Jays
Games played 30 29
Avg runs scored 4.1 3.9
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.8
Win percentage 40% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 41% 53%