Final Score: Blue Jays 1 - Rays 5
Monday, May 4, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET
Blue Jays @ Rays
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Blue Jays | Rays |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 216 | 263 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.4 | 4.7 |
| Last meeting | 13 | 4 |
| Stat | Blue Jays | Rays |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 34 | 33 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.2 | 4.5 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.6 | 4.2 |
| Win percentage | 47% | 64% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 38% | 73% |
Recent Results
Blue Jays
@ Minnesota Twins
May 3, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Minnesota Twins
May 2, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 15
11-4
@ Minnesota Twins
May 1, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
@ Minnesota Twins
Apr 30, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 8
1-7
vs Boston Red Sox
Apr 29, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 9
8-1
vs Boston Red Sox
Apr 28, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
vs Boston Red Sox
Apr 27, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 5
0-5
vs Cleveland Guardians
Apr 26, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Cleveland Guardians
Apr 25, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Cleveland Guardians
Apr 24, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 14
6-8
Rays
vs San Francisco Giants
May 3, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs San Francisco Giants
May 2, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs San Francisco Giants
May 1, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
@ Cleveland Guardians
Apr 29, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
@ Cleveland Guardians
Apr 28, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
@ Cleveland Guardians
Apr 27, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Minnesota Twins
Apr 26, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Minnesota Twins
Apr 25, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
vs Minnesota Twins
Apr 24, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
vs Cincinnati Reds
Apr 22, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1